The odds a U.S. recession will someday be determined to have begun between January 2025 and January 2026 have dropped to a ...

There are essentially no economists predicting a recession right now. That’s in sharp contrast to just 24 months ago. Could ...

Torsten Sløk, the chief economist at Apollo, said in a note on Monday that the probability of a US recession materializing in 2025 is 0%. He released his top 12 risks to watch for global markets ...

Forecasting site Kalshi currently gives a 21% chance of a recession before 2026, this is roughly an average probability compared to history. The stock market, which can be a leading indicator of ...

The New York Fed model assigns a 29% probability of a recession by 2025, down from 70% in mid-2023. Kalshi betting markets show recession odds falling from 50% to 23% after Donald Trump’s ...

The New York Fed's recession probability model suggests there is still a 29.4% chance of a U.S. recession sometime in the next 12 months. High valuations in areas of the technology sector have ...

There are three reasons for that subjective judgment. The first is that the model-generated probability of a recession actually declined by five percentage points as a result of the increased ...

Neil Dutta, the head of US economics at Renaissance Macro Research, spoke to Business Insider executive editor Sara Silverstein about what he sees as very low odds for a recession. He says ...

Economists see interest-rate increases raising likelihood of recession to 44% in coming 12 months. Economists surveyed by the Wall Street Journal have dramatically raised the probability of ...

The Federal Reserve Bank of New York regularly attempts to calculate the probability of a U.S. recession over the next 12 months using the difference between the 10-year and three-month Treasury ...

Former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan downplayed the risk of a double-dip recession in the United ... rating issue because there's zero probability of a US default: the United States ...