There’s a significantly elevated chance that a U.S. recession will begin within the next 12 months. The odds are roughly one ...

For generations, people have looked for small, informal signs that a recession is coming or already here. This phenomenon recently exploded on social media, often in joke form.

Here's how economists identify a recession, and where the U.S. economy currently stands amid market turmoil caused by tariff threats.

The overwhelming majority – 69% – consider an economic recession in the next year to be at least somewhat likely, including 32% who say it’s very likely.

Recession risks are rising, economists say. Here's what to know. Trump's tariffs touched off a stock market plunge in recent days.

The article explains what a recession is and its connection to stock market declines, with insights following Trump's tariffs.

The GDP, the labor market and consumer confidence all offer measures to tell whether the U.S. economy is close to a recession or not, no matter what Wall Street or the White House say.

Lately we've noticed that something we think about all the time here at Planet Money is having a viral moment: recession indicators!From the more practical (like sales for lipstick going up and ...

The U.S. economy contracted in the first quarter, but it takes more than one bad quarter of GDP for a recession to officially begin.

Are We Having a Recession or Not? Experts Weigh In With the Indicators For a recession to happen, there must be at least two quarters of negative GDP growth.

The case for a recession in 2025 stems from ongoing uncertainty, which is delaying domestic investment decisions (and therefore domestic business spending), and less government spending by the ...

Lipstick: the original ‘recession indicator’ meme? The “substitution effect” is one way economists measure how consumers feel about the future: if folks want to cut back on expenses, they will replace ...