News

This early-warning indicator is telling the stock market that a recession is more likely
There’s a significantly elevated chance that a U.S. recession will begin within the next 12 months. The odds are roughly one ...
University of Surrey3dOpinion
Commentary: Trump will induce a severe recession to save his public image
The following expert comment below was written by Dr Eric Golson, Associate Professor of Economics at the University of ...
Polymarket traders doubt there will be a recession. We asked prediction gurus if you should listen.
The probability of a US recession this year has plunged on Polymarket and Kalshi. Prediction gurus break down what that means ...
MarketWatch5d
Will Trump’s tariffs push the U.S. economy into recession? Many ...
President Donald Trump’s decision to impose tariffs on Canada and Mexico will ultimately result in a recession in the United States, many economists predicted Tuesday.
The real risk of a recession, and other key points about the US economy right now
Writing TKer is a process. I first catch up on news and research, and I see what topics are being debated. Then I settle on an angle. Then I draft the newsletter. Then I edit. Then I have an editor ...
CoinDesk6d
U.S. Recession Odds on Polymarket Plunge to 22% as Trade Tensions Cool
Perceived odds of a U.S. recession peaked at 66% back in April as Wall Street banks were raising red flags, yet they have ...