Storyline The little-known FRED charts that reveal the state of the U.S. economy August 1, 2014 More than 10 years ago Summary By Ryan McCarthy ...

There’s a significantly elevated chance that a U.S. recession will begin within the next 12 months. The odds are roughly one ...

The participation rate continues to rise (chart below). (Source: FRED, ANG Traders) The nonfarm payrolls continue to print within the range that has been in place since 2010 (chart below).

Is recession coming? What 'FRED' chart on US corporate borrowing suggests According to Federal Reserve Economic Data, the corporate debt is slowing down.

If Trump's tariffs send the US economy into recession, Wall Street strategists feel the stock market rout may not be over.

Historically, a recession has occurred 1 to 16 months after the unemployment rate troughs. If history is a guide, that suggests a recession is starting now or has already started.

Writing TKer is a process. I first catch up on news and research, and I see what topics are being debated. Then I settle on an angle. Then I draft the newsletter. Then I edit. Then I have an editor ...

Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. Fred Hubler, CEO & Chief Wealth Strategist of Creative Capital. When looking for investments and strategies that will do well ...

A team of investment strategists at Bank of America have identified 12 signs that a global recession has already begun.

Do you remember the 2023 recession? I hope not, because it didn’t happen. But back in 2022 there were so many confident predictions of imminent recession that I wonder whether some people have ...

Historical charts show inverted yield curves often precede recessions. Therefore, many conclude that today's inverted yield curve means a recession is coming. The problem is, that link is a sloppy ...

President Trump's wide-ranging tariffs have sent the stock market tumbling and recession fears soaring. As the dust settles and markets wait for more information on the result of the ...