As Fed Chair Jerome Powell addressed reporters on Wednesday, one market-based measure of inflation expectations continued to reflect ongoing concerns about more upside risks to prices. It's the ...
The yield curve's steepening suggests potential recession ... Inflation expectations remain controlled but elevated; watch the 5-Year Breakeven Inflation Rate closely, as a rise above 2.5% could ...
Some other tells that the market didn't see any real inflation relief in that CPI report included the following: The five-year breakeven inflation rate (a measure of what market participants expect ...
Treasury investors "talk turkey" about how they feel about the U.S. economy via their daily trades; consequently, the inverted yield curve among ... year Treasury inflation breakeven rates provide ...
The macro views that rely on intensive interest-rate models and stress testing inform duration (a measure of interest-rate risk), yield-curve positioning, or breakeven inflation rate trades that ...
The macro views that rely on intensive interest-rate models and stress testing inform duration (a measure of interest-rate risk), yield-curve positioning, or breakeven inflation rate trades that ...
Yields across the US curve have retreated after a reading ... As a result, measures of expected inflation including breakeven rates and swaps have fallen, while a gauge of future volatility ...