Economic cycles, also known as business cycles, are the natural fluctuations in economic activity over time. They consist of four phases: expansion, peak, contraction (or recession), and trough.

Gerhard Rünstler, Marente Vlekke, Business, housing, and credit cycles, Journal of Applied Econometrics, Vol. 33, No. 2 (March 2018), pp. 212-226 ...

“Business cycles” refer to the fluctuations in economic activity that alternate between periods of expansion and contraction, where the latter can sometimes result in a recession.

Here is the Conference Board’s Leading Economic Index versus my coincident Business Cycle Index, with the former leading by around three months and continuing to trend higher.

Coincident indicators move in step with the economy, providing real-time insights into economic activity. Click to read.

A standalone business cycle based sector rotation is difficult to implement, as differences exist on economic conditions of each cycle over time and transformative technology continues to alter ...