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Economic cycles, also known as business cycles, are the natural fluctuations in economic activity over time. They consist of four phases: expansion, peak, contraction (or recession), and trough.
Gerhard Rünstler, Marente Vlekke, Business, housing, and credit cycles, Journal of Applied Econometrics, Vol. 33, No. 2 (March 2018), pp. 212-226 ...
Business cycle investing involves tailoring investment strategies to the prevailing phase of the economic cycle. Each phase of the business cycle—recovery, expansion, recession, and slump ...
Here is the Conference Board’s Leading Economic Index versus my coincident Business Cycle Index, with the former leading by around three months and continuing to trend higher.
A standalone business cycle based sector rotation is difficult to implement, as differences exist on economic conditions of each cycle over time and transformative technology continues to alter ...