The yield spread between long-term and short-term Treasury securities is known to be a good predictor of economic activity, particularly of looming recessions. One way to learn more is through a ...

Notoriety surrounding the Treasury yield curve is reaching new heights as investors ponder the potential consequences of the recent curve inversion. An inversion, also labeled negative term spread, ...

These are strange times in the financial world, even by the standards of these past five years. It is not every day that you see negative yields spread in country after country throughout a good ...

A key challenge for monetary policymakers is to predict where inflation is headed. One promising approach involves modifying a typical Phillips curve predictive regression to include an interaction ...