Ohio State and Texas meet in a historic College Football Playoff Cotton Bowl semifinal game on Friday night from Jerry World. Here’s the latest prediction for the matchup from an expert football model that projects scores and picks winners.

The main areas of weakness on offense are the Ohio State O-line’s ability to handle extra rushers, ranking 78th with a 9.2% blitz down sack rate, and a somewhat elevated 10.2% blown run block rate that checks in at 94th nationally.